Political discontent in the Nordics
In recent decades, Western democracies have been characterised by political and anti-government protests, declining voter turnout, and the rise of non-traditional or anti-establishment parties (Berman, 2021; Florida, 2021; Rodríguez-Pose, 2020; Solijonov, 2016). This trend is exemplified by the 2010s, described as the “age of discontent”, which saw growing political dissatisfaction among segments of the population, linked to long-term structural changes such as globalisation and marketisation (Rhodes-Purdy et al., 2023). Elements of these dynamics were also evident in the Nordic countries, where all five states saw changes in voting patterns and rising support for anti-establishment parties (Bjerkem, 2016; Meinander, 2021; Önnudóttir et al., 2021; Palonen & Sunnercrantz, 2021; Salo, 2022; Sørensen & Svendsen, 2023).
Studies have identified multiple, interacting drivers of discontent, including economic insecurity, spatial inequalities, socio-cultural tensions, demographic shifts, declining public services and immigration (De Ruyter et al., 2021; Dijkstra et al., 2020; Florida, 2021; Inglehart & Norris, 2016; O’Brien & Leichenko, 2003; Rodríguez-Pose & Bartalucci, 2023). Discontent often emerges among groups or regions that are experiencing relative economic decline or perceived neglect, rather than among the poorest (Rodríguez-Pose, 2018), and some evidence suggests that support for populist parties is driven more by attitudes, ideological distrust in institutions and a desire for strong leadership (Brunkert et al., 2025). Such trends of discontent have profound implications for democracy and contribute to what is often described as a “crisis of democracy”, characterised by declining citizen participation, polarisation, disinformation and unequal political influence (Bressanelli & Bernardi, 2025; Ercan & Gagnon, 2014).
Rural youth: Vulnerable groups in vulnerable places
Image: Mads Schmidt Rasmussen / norden.org
Vulnerable places
At the national level, the Nordic countries continue to display relatively high levels of electoral participation, with no clear overall decline in voter turnout in Denmark, Norway and Sweden, while turnout in Finland has stabilised following earlier decreases. Similarly, while support for populist parties has increased in some cases, particularly in Sweden and more recently in Finland, there is no consistent or uniform rise across the Region, with support declining in Norway and Denmark after earlier peaks (Sánchez Gassen et al., 2025).
However, these stable national patterns mask significant territorial variations. To understand territorial differences in political participation and discontent, it is first necessary to distinguish between the types of municipalities. Drawing on the Nordic municipal typology developed by Stjernberg et al. (2024) (Figure 1), Nordregio categorises municipalities into three groups:
Urban municipalities: Inner and outer urban areas
Intermediate municipalities: Peri-urban areas, rural areas close to urban centres, and some local centres in rural areas
Rural municipalities: Rural heartlands, sparsely populated areas and some local centres in rural areas.
Across the Nordic Region, political engagement and dissatisfaction vary markedly between urban, intermediate and rural areas and is often most pronounced in intermediate municipalities, which are neither fully urban nor fully remote (Sánchez Gassen et al., 2025).
Support for populist parties is generally highest in peri-urban areas, rural local centres and rural municipalities close to cities, while metropolitan cores and the most remote areas typically show lower levels of support (Figure 2). In certain intermediate and rural regions, support for these parties can reach as high as 50%. Furthermore, urban areas and municipalities near major cities tend to have higher turnout, while rural and sparsely populated areas, particularly in northern Norway, Sweden and Finland, show lower levels of participation (Figure 3). Although election results are an imperfect measure, they offer a useful indication of areas in which political discontent is most pronounced (Sánchez Gassen et al., 2025).