Figure 26. Ullensaker, Norway. Population and populated area by Nordic rural-urban typology.
Next, we consider what kind of population development trends can be seen over time in the different territorial classes of the Nordic urban–rural typology. Figure 27 shows how the total population has changed over time in the Nordic countries in the different typology classes. A bubble chart is used to highlight the different reference years (2008, 2017, 2022) and to aid examination of the population change in the different countries, both separately and combined. While it was possible to examine population changes for the period 2008–2022 in each of these typology classes for Denmark, Finland and Åland, Norway, and Sweden, data for Iceland was only available for 2017.
Figure 27. Population changes in the different Nordic typology classes for the years 2008, 2017, and 2022.
The Nordic countries have undergone a noticeable population increase in recent decades. For the five Nordic countries combined, the population grew from 25 million in 2008 to 27.7 million in 2022; this trend was evident for all countries (Nordic statistics, 2024). However, Figure 27 reveals a rather unbalanced development with different types of areas developing quite differently; certain territorial classes in the Nordic typology have undergone greater population growth than others, while some typology classes have seen a decrease in population.
The most significant population increase occurred in inner urban areas. This line of development can be observed in Sweden, Finland and Åland, Norway, and Denmark, where the combined population grew from 10.3 million to 12.0 million in the period 2008–2022. However, in the case of Denmark, it is noteworthy that the population in inner urban areas increased between 2008 and 2017 (from 2.42 million to 2.67 million), while there was a slight population decrease in this typology class between 2017 and 2022 (from 2.67 million to 2.53 million). In addition, in outer urban areas there was an increase in population in all four Nordic countries, from 3.48 million to 3.97 million between 2008 and 2022. Similarly, the intermediate typology class of peri-urban areas saw an increase in population in all four countries (from 3.11 million to 3.48 million between 2008 and 2022).
The rural typology classes have undergone a more differentiated development. For instance, there was an increase in population in the typology class rural close to urban in Norway and Sweden during the period 2008–2022, while the population decreased in these types of areas in Denmark and Finland and Åland. Also, in local centres in rural areas, the population increased in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden, while there was only a slight population decrease in this typology class in Finland. In areas that are classified as rural heartland, Norway is the only country where population increased, while these types of areas decreased in population in all other countries. The final typology class, sparsely populated rural areas, has the lowest total population among all the territorial classes, and these types of areas are also those where population shrinkage has been the most pronounced in all the countries (from 868,000 to 753,000 in the Nordic countries combined).
We have illustrated that urbanisation is a clear trend that can be seen in the Nordic countries during the past couple of decades. The main urban regions have seen the most noticeable increases in population. The analysis of population change in the different typology classes, with the largest population growth occurring in inner urban and outer urban areas, also underlines this development. It can also be concluded that peri-urban areas have undergone a noticeable increase in population, which indicates growth on the fringes of urban regions, suggesting suburbanisation. The general trend seen in rural areas points towards depopulation, but the changes that can be observed in the different typology classes suggests a more differentiated development, where different types of rural areas have developed differently. This is highlighted by the fact that rural areas close to urban areas have generally seen an increase in population, in a manner similar to that of local centres in rural areas, which suggests that some of the rural areas that are located in the vicinity of cities and towns may have become more attractive places for people to settle (see also Randall et al. 2022). In addition, sparsely populated rural areas appear to be in a more disadvantaged position and the general trend in these areas is that their population has decreased noticeably.
It should be noted that, in addition to the previously described general trends in the Nordic countries, the more specific population changes that can be observed in different regions and municipalities also differ from one another. To better understand these context-specific differences would require closer examination of the more local and regional conditions that are driving the different developments seen.