In Norway, the drive to strengthen social inclusion arises from a recognition of the potential impacts of a neighbourhood’s characteristics (e.g. its environment, location, accessibility aspects and social environment) on residents’ life opportunities. At the national level, a number of relevant strategies have been introduced in recent years (see section 3.3). Furthermore, the SDGSs have prompted greater awareness of the connections between the quality of local environments, social cohesion, social mobility and public health. In order to better understand these connections, increasing political attention is being directed at developing indicators that describe social conditions in different urban areas and so be used to inform policy development and implementation.
Several of Norway’s key policies mention the need for reliable indicators to support decision-making and assess policy efficacy. For instance, the 2019‒2022 Integration Strategy refers to the government’s intention to ‘further develop the performance indicators in the area of integration, to ensure a good basis for measuring the effect of policies’ (Ministry of Education and Research, 2019, p. 65). Similarly, the 2019–2023 National Expectations Regarding and Municipal Planning states that the government will ‘continue work on developing indicators for all the sustainability goals’, which ‘must be adapted to regional and local conditions, so that counties and municipalities that wish to do so, can measure the effect of their own efforts’ (Ministry of Local Government and Regional Development, 2019, p. 6).
Regarding segregation more specifically, the official report ‘Living Conditions in Cities – Good Communities for All’ calls for more systematic knowledge (Ministry of Education and Research, 2020). While many municipalities have developed their own indicators for monitoring welfare conditions, the routines, content and use of these indicators vary. Given this, the documents mentioned above indicate that the central government will increasingly take a coordinating role in further developing relevant indicators. At the same time, the documents emphasise the role of municipalities as the main end users of such data. Overall, the main rationale underlying the improvement of social indicators is strengthening municipal decision-making and local-level integration efforts.
4.3.1 Policies and strategies
Currently, no national-level indicators are actively being used to monitor segregation in Norwegian cities. Instead, many municipalities – including all the big cities – have developed their own systems for monitoring local variations in welfare conditions. How, and to what degree, these systems are used varies. In most cases, however, the municipalities draw on socio-economic indicators from Statistics Norway (SSB), combined with other analytical data, for instance from the Norwegian Institute of Public Health, and/or Ungdata, a national data collection scheme targeting youth and children in Norwegian municipalities through surveys (Ungdata, n.d.).
‘Living Conditions in Cities’ suggests developing a harmonised system for monitoring segregation across Norway’s municipalities, in order to produce comparative knowledge (Ministry of Education and Research, 2020). According to the report, a national indicator system would provide a number of benefits, including helping to:
target public authority efforts at areas with the greatest need, and equitably distribute funds across different areas;
enhance understanding of areas vulnerable to risks, enabling the implementation of preventive measures;
facilitate prioritisation of resource allocation across sectors (e.g. education, healthcare, recreation, housing);
assess the needs of area-based initiatives;
streamline municipalities’ compliance with their Public Health Act responsibilities, thereby ensuring they maintain a comprehensive understanding of the local environmental factors impacting public health; and
create a unified analysis framework that reduces the financial and operational barriers faced by municipalities, enabling easier comparison across regions.
In addition, the report mentions the Swedish Segregation Barometer (discussed in section 4.4) as a potential source of inspiration, and suggests municipalities could receive support in analysing and making use of information – for instance, from Statistics Norway – in order to avoid indicators being misinterpreted. To concretise the work of developing an indicator system, a follow-up report was delivered to the Ministry of Local Government and Regional Development (KDD) in 2022 (Ministry of Local Government and Regional Development, 2022).
4.3.2 Qualitative and quantitative indicators in area-based policies
Over recent decades, area-based policies have become a key approach in Norway for improving neighbourhood conditions and addressing inequalities in targeted areas. Furthermore, these projects have provided an important arena for public innovation and new ways of collaborating across levels and departments. Various socio-economic indicators on living conditions (e.g. unemployment, educational attainment, income, neighbourhood resident turnover, and living space per person) are used to identify which areas should be targeted by area-based investments.
Moreover, the indicators provide insights on the broader issues affecting an area, which can result in reduced attractiveness and thus lower housing prices, leading to a greater concentration of groups with a lower ability to pay for housing. Thus, statistics on living conditions are also used as an early indicator for challenges posed by the physical environment (Lund, 2014). Given the complex, mixed challenges often faced in targeted neighbourhoods, statistical indicators are usually supplemented by local knowledge and different mapping methods.
How best to make investments and initiatives measurable has been a recurring topic, with various assessment tools tested in this respect. For instance, the State Housing Bank (Husbanken) developed an interactive tool in 2017 visualising different indicators for the 14 areas included in the ‘Area Boost’ (Områdeløft) project (nine areas in Oslo, three in Bergen, one in Drammen, and one in Trondheim) (Husbanken, 2023). The active use of this platform was limited, however, as longitudinal data was scarce and the area unit sizes involved were too large to identify specific neighbourhood challenges. The analytic utility of some indicators was also questioned – for example, the perceived safety measurement included both petty crime and serious offences, including acts of violence. These shortcomings point to wider methodological issues when it comes to quantitative indicators, such as access to longitudinal data, defining relevant unit sizes for measurements, and determining how different aspects should be monitored (Interview 10, 2022; Interview 11, 2022).
Reliance on misleading data from indicators is a potential risk when working with area-based initiatives (Interview 9, 2022). While indicators can help locate areas for funding, it is unlikely these indicators will change within the timeframe of a project, as reversing segregation is a slow process that requires structural change beyond the means of area-based investments.
In other words, indicators have limited applicability in evaluating efforts. Even if an indicator improves, it is difficult to assess whether this is due to a particular initiative or the outcome of other welfare policies, societal forces and/or house market fluctuations. Similarly, it is hard to determine what would happen if no initiatives were set in motion. Even so, the direct benefits of initiatives are often of significant value to residents in terms of increased neighbourhood satisfaction and cultivating a sense of ownership and belonging, which can be documented using qualitative methods, such as interviews and surveys.
4.3.3 The role of indicators in Oslo
Oslo has long been characterised by a socio-economic divide between the more affluent groups living in the city’s western parts, and the lower-income groups living in the eastern parts (OsloMet, 2023; Wessel, 2000). To compensate for neighbourhood differences, several area-based regeneration initiatives involving collaboration between the state and the municipality have been implemented. This section addresses the use of indicators in these efforts and in the city’s neighbourhood policy (Områdepolitikk), which was instated following the first major area investment project in the Groruddalen area.
Area-based initiatives
More than a fifth of Oslo’s population resides in the north-eastern district of Groruddalen, characterised by large housing estates built during the post-war decades. A ten-year collaborative project (Områdesatsing) between the state and the city was initiated in 2007 with the aim of improving the quality of Groruddalen’s neighbourhoods. Prior to this initiative, similar efforts had been carried out on a smaller scale in Oslo’s eastern city-centre districts, including Miljøbyen Gamle Oslo (Unstad & Whist, 1997) and Handlingsprogram Oslo indre øst (Holm & Søholt, 2005).
Figure 11. Haugenstua, located within the Groruddalen district in Oslo
Source: CCO 1.0