Norway, and especially northern Norway, is very interesting to study for the purpose of exploring the potential implementation of electric aviation in the future. Previous studies conducted within the framework of this project (Löfving et al., 2023) have already emphasised the nation's ambitious goals to achieve climate neutrality at the national level. Furthermore, various Green Aviation programmes are in place, in collaboration with key partners such as Avinor, the Luftfartstilsynet, Norsk Industri and SINTEF.
Several factors create ideal conditions for electric aircraft within Norway. The extensive short-haul network, rapid electrification of the car fleet and the transition to electric ferries all contribute to the country's suitability for electric aviation (Valmot, 2021). Notably, Norway's significant internal tourism and domestic flights further enhance the appeal of electric aviation. Within Europe, routes like Oslo-Trondheim, Oslo-Bergen and Oslo-Stavanger rank in the top 20 for passenger traffic (OECD, 2022).
The geographical characteristics of Norway also render it a compelling case study. There are vast distances between many of the country’s locations, particularly in the northern regions, where the lack of cost-effective and efficient public transport often makes flying the sole viable option for reaching certain destinations. Nonetheless, it is worth noting that the majority of internal flights are in areas where lower-emission alternatives are available (Andersen, 2022).
This case study report focuses on the possible future route for electric aviation between Leknes, located on the Lofoten Islands, and Bodø. The calculated flight time of that route by electric airplane would be around 20 minutes.
Geography and demography
The selected route connects the airports of Bodø and Leknes, located in the administrative region (Fylkeskommune) of Nordland, in northern Norway. Bodø is located on the mainland and is the administrative centre and largest municipality in the region (with a population of 53,259 as at 2023) (Statistics Norway, 2023), while Leknes is the most populated settlement in the Lofoten Islands and is part of the municipality of Vestvågøy (11566 people as at 2022) (Statistics Norway, 2022b). Avinor, a state-owned Norwegian company under the auspices of the Ministry of Transport and Communication, is responsible for the two airports concerned. The route is a public procurement route.
It is noteworthy that while Bodø Airport is categorised as an urban airport, in line with the urban-rural typology outlined in Nordregio's accessibility study (Nordregio, 2022), Leknes Airport is classified as rural. That distinction has significant implications for the potential of electric aviation to connect remote areas in this region effectively.
Currently, passengers travelling between Leknes and Bodø have three transport options: a flight operated by Widerøe (approximately 1.3 hours), a ferry ride (approximately 5.3 hours) and a bus journey (approximately 9 hours).
From a geographical perspective, the county of Nordland is a predominantly mountainous area, characterised by rugged coastlines with several fjords and islands that are among the least densely populated areas in Norway. Nordland has a total population of 240,345 and a population density of 6.7 people/km2 (Statistics Norway, 2023). About 25,000 people live on the Lofoten Islands and slightly fewer than 4,000 live in the centre of Leknes (Statistics Norway, 2022b).
A central demographic aspect of northern Norway is its ageing population pattern (Statistics Norway, 2022a). That is a crucial issue, because – especially from a labour market perspective – more rural municipalities need to retain young people and have a skilled work force. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the county of Nordland had the lowest national unemployment rate at 1.7% as at March 2023. In some of the regional centres (in particular Bodø) there has been a significant population increase, due both to internal and international migration. Outmigration involves young women in particular, who mainly move south to the capital (Teräs et al., 2020a). In general, however, a combination of low birth rates and decreasing immigration over the past few years (minus 65% between 2012 and 2019) has led to a decreasing population overall in northern Norway, with the exception of the centres of Bodø, Tromsø and Alta. All those centres have a strong public sector and university campuses, which contribute to attracting young people and a skilled labour force (Teräs et al., 2020a). On average, northern Norway’s population is older than the national average. According to population forecasts, it can be expected that over a 30-year horizon over half the population in northern Norway will be in the 20-6 age group, supporting a growing elderly population.
Regional economy
The main economic sectors in Nordland have traditionally centred around agriculture and fishing. Nordland is Norway’s largest fish farming county, with 65% of exports from northern Norway coming from there. Engineering, food and metal production are the industrial sectors with the highest number of employees (23, 29 and 12 percent respectively, in 2019) (Thorsnæs, 2023). The presence of Bodø Havn (port of Bodø) further makes the area an important facilitator for business, industry, maritime logistics and transport of people and goods. Of particular relevance to this project is the fact that Nordland produces 10% of Norway’s electrical power (15 Twh) and is the second largest hydropower producer in Norway (Nordland Fylkeskommune, n.d.).
For centuries, fishing has been the main economic activity on the Lofoten Islands as well. There are high exports of cod and stockfish, in particular to Italy, Portugal and the United Kingdom. In the centre of Leknes, in particular, the wool industry, fish processing, mechanical workshops and the oil industry also play an important role. In addition, the port of Leknes is an important stopping point for cruise ships.
Bodø is also an important university hub, and has the crucial role of attracting young skilled people in the context of an ageing population.
It is also important to point out that Norway in general and Nordland in particular are highly attractive tourist destinations. As reported by OECD (2020), tourism accounts for 3.6% of the national GDP and Nordland has many attractive destinations, with Bodø and Lofoten Islands standing out in particular.
The two destinations concerned, Bodø and the Lofoten Islands, are titled sustainable tourism destinations. That refers to a national certification scheme under which that title is granted to destinations that have committed to working systematically towards more sustainable tourism development, preserving local communities and cultural heritage and reducing the environmental footprint of tourism (Global Sustainable Tourism Council, 2018). As will be described further in the next sections, the establishment of electric aviation in a hub like Bodø may have a strategic function for tourism purposes, but may also enhance access to services from the Lofoten Islands.