Political Factors | ||
Bright Green Island Vision | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Goal to achieve fossil-free transport | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Aim to set example for other Green Energy Islands | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Overall strong political will and commitment | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Economic Factors | ||
Need to attract younger people to Bornholm | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Growing sustainable tourism sector | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Need to attract qualified workforce | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Social Factors | ||
Aging Population | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Outmigration | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Accessibility of healthcare | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Accessibility of education | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 1/5 | |
Technological Factors | ||
Evolving green energy hub | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Upgrade of airport infrastructure | Probability of Occurrence | 2/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Environmental Factors | ||
Protection of local flora and fauna | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Legal Factors | ||
Lack of rules and regulations of electric aviation | Probability of Occurrence | 1/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Political Factors | ||
Strong political commitment towards the implementation of electric aviation | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Goal to achieve fossil-free transport | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Need to establish more sustainable transport connections especially to Lofoten Islands | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Economic Factors | ||
Need to attract younger people, students and qualified workforce to the region | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Keeping the label of sustainable tourism destinations | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Expected economic revenues from not paying environmental taxes | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Poor economic incentives and risk of Economic Loss Until Enough Volume Is Reached | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Social Factors | ||
Aging population | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Outmigration | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Accessibility of healthcare/education (university) from Lofoten | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Technological Factors | ||
Increased energy consumption and need for higher energy production | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Upgrade of airport infrastructure | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Hybrid (green hydrogen) vs fully electric | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Grid access/ capacity for charging | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Environmental Factors | ||
Protection of biodiversity, especially in Lofoten | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Reduction of emissions | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Sustainable energy sources | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Legal Factors | ||
Mandatory requirements for emission reduction (EU/national/regional) | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Political Factors | ||
Electrification of domestic flights seen as an opportunity | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Political will/commitment - Working group that developed a strategy and plan for action concerning the energy transition in aviation in Iceland | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Achieving carbon neutrality before 2040 and replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy sources by 2050 | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Change in location of Reykjavik airport (excellent current location but plans for moving it in the near future could impact demand) | Probability of Occurrence | 1/5 |
Level of Significance | 5.5 | |
Economic Factors | ||
High price of flying domestically in Iceland | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
The electrification of the car fleet in Iceland (lower transport cost for driving) | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Emphasis on a greener economy and ecotourism | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Social Factors | ||
Accessibility of public services, ageing population will require more frequent trips to specialized doctors in the capital | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Acceptability of new technologies, fear of flying in electric airplanes (this could be resolved with hybrid options) | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Technological Factors | ||
Availability of necessary infrastructure for charging with stationary or swappable batteries | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Environmental Factors | ||
Specific weather conditions (e.g. very low temperatures, windy weather, icing) | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Political Factors | ||
Uncertainty about state aid | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
National and EU climate targets | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Regional development objectives and connections to Helsinki | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Socioeconomic Factors | ||
Need to attract workforce to the region | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
New industrial projects | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Connections to Sweden, Skellefteå | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Growth in Oulu as a hub | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Technological Factors | ||
Wind energy and surplus electricity generation | Probability of Occurrence | 2/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Geographical Factors | ||
Limited public transport between Oulu, Kajaani and Kuusamo | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Long distances, effectiveness of travel chains | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Political Factors | ||
A strong political commitment to the introduction of electric flight | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Relevant regional policies/strategies, e.g. targets for fossil-free transport. | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Cooperation across national borders | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Economic Factors | ||
Supply of competence: the need for skilled workers in the green industries | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Demand for workers in ancillary services such as health and education | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Need for increased accessibility for companies in the region and research/business networks | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Establish sustainable transport connections to Finland | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Uncertain market: weak economic incentives for electric aviation and risk of economic losses until sufficient capacity is reached. | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
Social Factors | ||
Accessibility to public services, e.g. health services | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 2/5 | |
Acceptance of new technologies (such as electric aircraft) | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 4/5 | |
High demand for population growth & migration | Probability of Occurrence | 3/5 |
Level of Significance | 3/5 | |
Technological Factors | ||
Investment in electric/hybrid aircraft, upgrading Skellefteå Airport infrastructure and access/capacity for charging | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Network of actors: collaborations and projects, green flight school, etc. | Probability of Occurrence | 4/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Certification processes (of new technologies) | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Specific weather conditions (e.g. very low temperatures) | Probability of Occurrence | 4/4 |
Level of Significance | 4/4 | |
Environmental Factors | ||
Climate impact & emission reduction | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |
Sustainable energy sources | Probability of Occurrence | 5/5 |
Level of Significance | 5/5 | |